In the run up to the next United Kingdom general election, several polling organisations will carry out opinion polling in regards to voting intention in Great Britain (i.e. the UK excluding Northern Ireland, which is always excluded from such voting intention surveys). Results of such polls are displayed below.
Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council, and abide by its disclosure rules.
Under the provisions of the Fixed-term Parliaments Act 2011, the next general election will be held on 7 May 2015.
The previous general election in the UK was held on 6 May 2010.
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Each polling organisation uses slightly different methodology in their collection of data; a brief description of each company's methods are as follows:
Angus Reid Public Opinion: Angus Reid collect their data through online internet survey, and demographically weight their data to be representative of the whole population in terms of age, gender, social class, the region of the country they live in, and newspaper readership. Past vote weighting is used, and is calculated separately for respondents from Scotland and respondents from England & Wales, whilst those saying they do not know how they will vote are asked which party they are leaning towards, and any responses to this are used as a full response, whilst those still unsure being discounted from the final calculation of levels of party support.[1]
ComRes: ComRes uses both telephone interviews and online surveys to collect their data, although all polls will be conducted using one method exclusively. All respondents are weighted according to gender, age, social class, household tenure, work status, number of cars owned and whether or not they have taken a foreign holiday in the previous three years. Both telephone and online polls are weighted according to past vote in the last general election, whilst telephone polls also use data from the last 12 ComRes telephone conducted opinion polls. ComRes compensate for those respondents who says they do not know by asking them instead which party they most clearly identify with, whilst all respondents are weighted according to likelihood to vote on a scale of 1 to 10, with respondents saying their likelihood of voting is less than 4 being discounted entirely, and respondents saying their likelihood is more than five being progressively weighted, with a 5 out of 10 likelihood being weighted as 0.5 of a response and a 10 out of 10 likelihood being weighted as 1 whole response.[2]
ICM: ICM also collect their data through telephone interviews, and also demographically weight their respondents according to their gender, age, social class, household tenure, work status and the region of the country they live in. They weight their respondents according to the levels of support a party received in the previous general election and the last 25 ICM opinion polls, and if a past vote is given, this is used to allocate a response to those who say they do not know how they will vote, although such a response is counted as only half of one whole response. ICM also weight their respondents as to how likely they say they are to vote, with respondents who say they are certain to vote given a higher weighting than those who are not as certain, whilst if a respondent did not vote at the previous general election, their turnout weighting is automatically reduced to half its value.[3]
Ipsos MORI: Ipsos MORI collect their data through telephone interviews, and weight their respondents to be demographically representative of gender, age, social class, work status, work sector, household tenure and the region of the country they live in. They do not weight their data according to the way respondents voted at the previous general election, discount any respondents who say they do not know how they will vote, and only include the responses of people who says they are certain to vote in the final calculation of levels of support for each party.[4]
Populus: Populus conduct their surveys over the telephone, and weight all respondents according to gender, age, social class, household tenure, work status, the number of cars they own, and whether they have taken a foreign holiday in the past three years, to be representative of the whole electorate. Respondents are weighted according to their past vote and the levels of support for each party recorded in the previous 20 Populus opinion polls. Respondents who say they do not know how they will vote are allocated according to how they voted at the last general election, albeit at a reduced weighting of 0.5 for previous Conservative or Labour voters and 0.3 for previous Liberal Democrat voters. All respondents are also weighted according to how likely they are to vote, with those certain to vote given the highest weighting.[5]
YouGov: YouGov collect their data through an online survey, and weight their respondents to be representative of the population as a whole in terms of age, gender, social class, identification with a political party, region of the country and newspaper readership. They weight their respondents according to how they voted in the previous general election in order to achieve a sample that is reflective of each party's level of support at that election, whilst those respondents who say they do not know who they will vote for are discounted from calculating levels of support for each party.[6]
Poll results are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first.
The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour.
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Conservatives | Labour | Liberal Democrats | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 Jan | YouGov/The Sun | 1,762 | 39% | 41% | 9% | 12% |
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Conservatives | Labour | Liberal Democrats | Others | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21-22 Dec | YouGov/The Sun | 1,721 | 40% | 40% | 9% | 11% | ||
| 20-21 Dec | YouGov/The Sun | 1,767 | 40% | 40% | 10% | 11% | ||
| 20-21 Dec | ICM/The Guardian | 1,003 | 37% | 36% | 15% | 13% | ||
| 19-20 Dec | YouGov/The Sun | 1,759 | 39% | 40% | 10% | 11% | ||
| 18-19 Dec | YouGov/The Sun | 1,721 | 38% | 42% | 9% | 10% | ||
| 16-19 Dec | TNS-BMRB | 1,231 | 35% | 38% | 11% | 16% | ||
| 16-18 Dec | Populus/The Times | 1,516 | 35% | 39% | 12% | 15% | ||
| 15-16 Dec | YouGov/The Sunday Times | 1,724 | 39% | 42% | 9% | 11% | ||
| 14-15 Dec | YouGov/The Sun | 1,744 | 41% | 40% | 10% | 10% | ||
| 14-15 Dec | ICM/The Sunday Telegraph | 1,008 | 40% | 34% | 14% | 11% | ||
| 13-14 Dec | YouGov/The Sun | 1,751 | 40% | 38% | 10% | 12% | ||
| 12-13 Dec | YouGov/The Sun | 1,704 | 41% | 39% | 10% | 10% | ||
| 11-12 Dec | YouGov/The Sun | 1,724 | 39% | 40% | 10% | 12% | ||
| 10-12 Dec | Ipsos MORI/Reuters | 1,001 | 41% | 39% | 11% | 9% | ||
| 9-11 Dec | ComRes/The Independent | 1,002 | 38% | 38% | 12% | 12% | ||
| 8-9 Dec | YouGov/The Sunday Times | 1,698 | 38% | 39% | 11% | 13% | ||
| 9 Dec | At an EU Council in Brussels aimed at solving the ongoing Eurozone crisis, Prime Minister David Cameron vetoes British involvement in a resulting EU treaty change.[7] | |||||||
| 6-7 Dec | YouGov/The Sun | 1,757 | 35% | 42% | 9% | 14% | ||
| 5-6 Dec | YouGov/The Sun | 1,686 | 37% | 41% | 10% | 12% | ||
| 4-5 Dec | YouGov/The Sun | 1,699 | 36% | 42% | 11% | 11% | ||
| 1-2 Dec | YouGov/The Sunday Times | 1,702 | 35% | 43% | 9% | 13% | ||
| 30 Nov - 1 Dec | YouGov/The Sun | 1,748 | 36% | 41% | 11% | 12% | ||
| 30 Nov | Two million public sector workers go on strike in protest at proposed government plans to reform public sector pensions.[8] | |||||||
| 29-30 Nov | YouGov/The Sun | 1,769 | 37% | 42% | 9% | 13% | ||
| 29-30 Nov | ICM/The Sunday Telegraph | 1,005 | 38% | 36% | 14% | 12% | ||
| 29 Nov | Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne gives his Autumn Statement, again revising down economic growth and announcing that government borrowing will be £111bn higher over five years.[9] | |||||||
| 28-29 Nov | YouGov/The Sun | 1,742 | 38% | 41% | 9% | 12% | ||
| 27-28 Nov | YouGov/The Sun | 1,723 | 37% | 39% | 9% | 14% | ||
| 25-27 Nov | ComRes/The Independent | 1,001 | 37% | 39% | 10% | 14% | ||
| 24-25 Nov | YouGov/The Sunday Times | 1,696 | 34% | 43% | 11% | 12% | ||
| 23-24 Nov | Angus Reid Public Opinion | 2,006 | 33% | 42% | 8% | 17% | ||
| 23-24 Nov | YouGov/The Sun | 1,718 | 35% | 40% | 9% | 16% | ||
| 22-23 Nov | YouGov/The Sun | 1,700 | 35% | 40% | 11% | 14% | ||
| 21-22 Nov | YouGov/The Sun | 1,714 | 35% | 42% | 9% | 14% | ||
| 20-21 Nov | YouGov/The Sun | 1,748 | 36% | 40% | 9% | 15% | ||
| 19-21 Nov | Ipsos MORI/Reuters | 1,006 | 34% | 41% | 12% | 13% | ||
| 18-20 Nov | Populus/The Times | 1,501 | 33% | 41% | 13% | 13% | ||
| 18-20 Nov | ICM/The Guardian | 1,005 | 36% | 38% | 14% | 12% | ||
| 17-18 Nov | YouGov/The Sunday Times | 1,700 | 36% | 40% | 9% | 15% | ||
| 16-17 Nov | YouGov/The Sun | 1,741 | 34% | 40% | 11% | 15% | ||
| 15-16 Nov | YouGov/The Sun | 1,684 | 36% | 41% | 10% | 13% | ||
| 14-15 Nov | YouGov/The Sun | 1,682 | 36% | 42% | 7% | 13% | ||
| 13-14 Nov | YouGov/The Sun | 1,780 | 37% | 40% | 9% | 13% | ||
| 10-11 Nov | YouGov/The Sunday Times | 1,751 | 36% | 41% | 9% | 14% | ||
| 9-10 Nov | YouGov/The Sun | 1,737 | 35% | 42% | 8% | 15% | ||
| 8-9 Nov | YouGov/The Sun | 1,796 | 36% | 40% | 10% | 14% | ||
| 7-8 Nov | YouGov/The Sun | 1,703 | 35% | 40% | 10% | 14% | ||
| 6-7 Nov | YouGov/The Sun | 1,715 | 36% | 41% | 9% | 13% | ||
| 3-4 Nov | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,561 | 35% | 41% | 9% | 15% | ||
| 2-3 Nov | YouGov/The Sun | 1,678 | 36% | 41% | 8% | 15% | ||
| 1-2 Nov | YouGov/The Sun | 1,718 | 37% | 41% | 8% | 13% | ||
| 31 Oct-1 Nov | YouGov/The Sun | 1,673 | 35% | 41% | 9% | 15% | ||
| 30-31 Oct | YouGov/The Sun | 1,702 | 39% | 41% | 8% | 13% | ||
| 27-31 Oct | TNS-BMRB | 1,261 | 36% | 37% | 11% | 16% | ||
| 28-30 Oct | ComRes/The Independent | 1,001 | 34% | 38% | 14% | 14% | ||
| 27-28 Oct | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,676 | 36% | 39% | 8% | 16% | ||
| 26-27 Oct | YouGov/The Sun | 1,672 | 35% | 42% | 9% | 14% | ||
| 25-26 Oct | YouGov/The Sun | 1,672 | 35% | 41% | 10% | 15% | ||
| 24-25 Oct | YouGov/The Sun | 1,717 | 36% | 40% | 9% | 15% | ||
| 24 Oct | House of Commons rejects a motion for a referendum on the United Kingdom's membership of the European Union, but 81 Conservatives vote against the government causing the largest ever Conservative rebellion on a European issue.[10] | |||||||
| 23-24 Oct | YouGov/The Sun | 1,764 | 36% | 40% | 9% | 14% | ||
| 22-24 Oct | Ipsos MORI/Reuters | 1,002 | 34% | 38% | 12% | 15% | ||
| 21-23 Oct | Angus Reid Public Opinion | 2,003 | 33% | 41% | 10% | 17% | ||
| 21-23 Oct | ICM/The Guardian | 1,003 | 35% | 39% | 13% | 13% | ||
| 20-21 Oct | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,727 | 36% | 38% | 10% | 16% | ||
| 19-20 Oct | YouGov/The Sun | 1,675 | 36% | 41% | 10% | 13% | ||
| 18-19 Oct | YouGov/The Sun | 1,739 | 35% | 41% | 9% | 14% | ||
| 17-18 Oct | YouGov/The Sun | 1,638 | 38% | 42% | 9% | 11% | ||
| 16-17 Oct | YouGov/The Sun | 1,629 | 37% | 40% | 9% | 14% | ||
| 14-16 Oct | Populus/The Times | 1,511 | 33% | 41% | 8% | 17% | ||
| 14 Oct | Defence Secretary Liam Fox resigns after a week of revelations regarding his relationship with friend and self-styled adviser Adam Werritty[11], whilst Minister of State for Policy Oliver Letwin apologises for dumping parliamentary papers in park bin.[12] | |||||||
| 13-14 Oct | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,464 | 39% | 42% | 8% | 11% | ||
| 12-13 Oct | YouGov/The Sun | 2,495 | 37% | 42% | 9% | 12% | ||
| 12-13 Oct | ComRes/The Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror | 2,004 | 37% | 39% | 10% | 14% | ||
| 11-12 Oct | YouGov/The Sun | 2,640 | 36% | 42% | 9% | 14% | ||
| 10-11 Oct | YouGov/The Sun | 2,526 | 37% | 41% | 8% | 14% | ||
| 9-10 Oct | YouGov/The Sun | 2,740 | 36% | 40% | 11% | 13% | ||
| 6-7 Oct | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,448 | 38% | 42% | 9% | 11% | ||
| 5-6 Oct | YouGov/The Sun | 2,723 | 37% | 41% | 10% | 12% | ||
| 5 Oct | David Cameron makes his keynote address to the Conservative party conference in Manchester. He urges the country to adopt a "can-do" by showing the "spirit of Britain" and not being "paralysed by doom and fear" surrounding the ongoing problems in the Britain and global economies. | |||||||
| 4-5 Oct | YouGov/The Sun | 2,644 | 37% | 41% | 9% | 13% | ||
| 3-4 Oct | YouGov/The Sun | 2,525 | 38% | 42% | 9% | 12% | ||
| 2-3 Oct | YouGov/The Sun | 2,747 | 37% | 42% | 9% | 12% | ||
| 29-30 Sep | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,333 | 36% | 42% | 10% | 12% | ||
| 28-29 Sep | YouGov/The Sun | 2,547 | 38% | 41% | 9% | 11% | ||
| 27-28 Sep | YouGov/The Sun | 2,627 | 37% | 43% | 9% | 11% | ||
| 27 Sep | Ed Miliband addresses the Labour party conference in Liverpool, promising an end to three decades of 'fast buck capitalism,' and vowing to regulate and tax 'predatory companies.' In addition, he declares that David Cameron constitutes the 'last gasp' of a dying system. Despite business leaders and others suggesting that the speech is anti-business, it is relatively well received by the conference hall. The media suggest the speech indicates Labour is adopting a more left-wing attitude. | |||||||
| 26-27 Sep | YouGov/The Sun | 2,754 | 37% | 43% | 8% | 13% | ||
| 25-26 Sep | YouGov/The Sun | 2,500 | 39% | 41% | 8% | 13% | ||
| 23-25 Sep | ComRes/The Independent | 1,000 | 37% | 36% | 12% | 15% | ||
| 22-23 Sep | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,636 | 36% | 42% | 11% | 11% | ||
| 21-22 Sep | YouGov/The Sun | 2,456 | 36% | 42% | 10% | 12% | ||
| 21 Sep | Nick Clegg gives his speech to the Liberal Democrat party conference in Birmingham. He acknowledges the criticism the Liberal Democrats have faced, emphasises the achievements they have made and insists they will not stop fighting for "liberal values". | |||||||
| 20-21 Sep | YouGov/The Sun | 2,601 | 35% | 41% | 9% | 14% | ||
| 20-21 Sep | ICM/The Guardian | 1,007 | 37% | 38% | 14% | 12% | ||
| 19-20 Sep | YouGov/The Sun | 2,468 | 36% | 41% | 10% | 12% | ||
| 18-19 Sep | YouGov/The Sun | 2,611 | 36% | 42% | 10% | 12% | ||
| 15-16 Sep | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,474 | 36% | 42% | 9% | 13% | ||
| 14-15 Sep | YouGov/The Sun | 2,731 | 38% | 41% | 9% | 12% | ||
| 13-14 Sep | YouGov/The Sun | 2,619 | 37% | 41% | 10% | 13% | ||
| 12-13 Sep | YouGov/The Sun | 2,429 | 35% | 43% | 10% | 12% | ||
| 11-12 Sep | YouGov/The Sun | 2,655 | 37% | 41% | 10% | 11% | ||
| 10-12 Sep | Ipsos MORI/Reuters | 1,008 | 35% | 37% | 13% | 15% | ||
| 9-11 Sep | Populus/The Times | 1,503 | 34% | 38% | 12% | 16% | ||
| 8-9 Sep | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,724 | 38% | 41% | 9% | 13% | ||
| 7-8 Sep | YouGov/The Sun | 2,627 | 36% | 42% | 10% | 12% | ||
| 6-7 Sep | YouGov/The Sun | 2,554 | 36% | 42% | 9% | 14% | ||
| 5-6 Sep | YouGov/The Sun | 2,552 | 38% | 40% | 9% | 13% | ||
| 4-5 Sep | YouGov/The Sun | 2,796 | 37% | 43% | 9% | 12% | ||
| 2-4 Sep | ComRes/The Independent | 1,000 | 37% | 38% | 11% | 14% | ||
| 1-2 Sep | Angus Reid Public Opinion | 2,005 | 33% | 39% | 11% | 16% | ||
| 1-2 Sep | YouGov/The Sunday Times | 2,696 | 38% | 39% | 10% | 13% | ||
| 31 Aug-1 Sep | YouGov/The Sun | 2,588 | 36% | 42% | 10% | 12% | ||
| 30-31 Aug | YouGov/The Sun | 2,783 | 37% | 42% | 10% | 12% | ||
| 29-30 Aug | YouGov/The Sun | 2,449 | 39% | 40% | 10% | 11% | ||
| 25-26 Aug | YouGov/The Sunday Times | 2,657 | 38% | 41% | 9% | 13% | ||
| 24-25 Aug | YouGov/The Sun | 2,530 | 37% | 42% | 9% | 12% | ||
| 23-24 Aug | YouGov/The Sun | 2,709 | 36% | 43% | 9% | 13% | ||
| 22-23 Aug | YouGov/The Sun | 2,585 | 37% | 44% | 9% | 10% | ||
| 21–22 Aug | YouGov/The Sun | 2,619 | 35% | 44% | 9% | 12% | ||
| 20–22 Aug | Ipsos MORI/Reuters | 1,002 | 34% | 40% | 15% | 11% | ||
| 19–21 Aug | ICM/The Guardian | 1,004 | 37% | 36% | 17% | 10% | ||
| 18–19 Aug | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,464 | 36% | 40% | 11% | 13% | ||
| 17–18 Aug | YouGov/The Sun | 2,608 | 36% | 44% | 9% | 12% | ||
| 17–18 Aug | ComRes/The Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror | 2,028 | 38% | 40% | 11% | 11% | ||
| 16–17 Aug | YouGov/The Sun | 2,783 | 35% | 44% | 9% | 12% | ||
| 15–16 Aug | YouGov/The Sun | 2,665 | 36% | 42% | 10% | 12% | ||
| 14–15 Aug | YouGov/The Sun | 2,847 | 35% | 43% | 9% | 13% | ||
| 11–12 Aug | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,656 | 36% | 43% | 9% | 11% | ||
| 10–11 Aug | YouGov/The Sun | 2,075 | 35% | 43% | 9% | 13% | ||
| 9–10 Aug | YouGov/The Sun | 2,700 | 36% | 43% | 9% | 13% | ||
| 6–9 Aug | Widespread rioting, looting and arson breaks out initially in Tottenham, North London, before spreading to other areas of Greater London and later other urban centres of England. David Cameron, along with Home Secretary Theresa May and Mayor of London Boris Johnson return from holiday after facing criticism for their initial refusal to do so, in order to deal with the situation. Five people are killed in the disorder, including 3 Birmingham residents seeking to protect shops, a man in Ealing in West London, and a man who is shot in Croydon, South London. | |||||||
| 8–9 Aug | YouGov/The Sun | 2,846 | 36% | 43% | 9% | 13% | ||
| 7–8 Aug | YouGov/The Sun | 2,743 | 36% | 44% | 9% | 12% | ||
| 4–5 Aug | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,425 | 35% | 44% | 9% | 12% | ||
| 3–4 Aug | YouGov/The Sun | 2,748 | 36% | 42% | 10% | 12% | ||
| 2–3 Aug | YouGov/The Sun | 2,657 | 35% | 43% | 10% | 11% | ||
| 1–2 Aug | YouGov/The Sun | 2,776 | 36% | 45% | 8% | 11% | ||
| 31 Jul–1 Aug | YouGov/The Sun | 2,820 | 35% | 42% | 11% | 12% | ||
| 28–29 Jul | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,529 | 35% | 44% | 10% | 12% | ||
| 27–28 Jul | YouGov/The Sun | 2,699 | 36% | 42% | 11% | 11% | ||
| 26–27 Jul | YouGov/The Sun | 2,733 | 36% | 43% | 8% | 13% | ||
| 25–26 Jul | YouGov/The Sun | 2,615 | 35% | 44% | 9% | 12% | ||
| 24–25 Jul | YouGov/The Sun | 2,783 | 37% | 41% | 10% | 12% | ||
| 22–24 Jul | ComRes/The Independent | 1,002 | 34% | 40% | 13% | 13% | ||
| 21–22 Jul | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,749 | 35% | 43% | 10% | 12% | ||
| 20–21 Jul | YouGov/The Sun | 2,684 | 36% | 44% | 9% | 12% | ||
| 19–20 Jul | News of the World Phone Hacking Scandal: Rupert and James Murdoch appear before the Culture, Media and Sport Select Committee to face questioning about their knowledge of the scandal, before David Cameron admits that "with hindsight" he would not have hired ex-News of the World editor Andy Coulson to be his director of communications. | |||||||
| 19–20 Jul | YouGov/The Sun | 2,853 | 35% | 43% | 11% | 11% | ||
| 19–20 Jul | Angus Reid Public Opinion | 2,002 | 34% | 41% | 10% | 16% | ||
| 18–19 Jul | YouGov/The Sun | 2,696 | 36% | 43% | 8% | 13% | ||
| 17–18 Jul | YouGov/The Sun | 2,810 | 37% | 42% | 9% | 12% | ||
| 16–18 Jul | Ipsos MORI/Reuters | 1,001 | 32% | 39% | 11% | 18% | ||
| 15–17 Jul | ICM/The Guardian | 1,003 | 37% | 36% | 16% | 11% | ||
| 14–15 Jul | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,046 | 36% | 42% | 11% | 11% | ||
| 13–14 Jul | YouGov/The Sun | 2,577 | 36% | 43% | 9% | 11% | ||
| 13–14 Jul | ComRes/The Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror | 2,009 | 36% | 40% | 10% | 14% | ||
| 12–13 Jul | YouGov/The Sun | 2,578 | 35% | 43% | 10% | 12% | ||
| 11–12 Jul | YouGov/The Sun | 2,655 | 37% | 42% | 9% | 12% | ||
| 10–11 Jul | YouGov/The Sun | 2,571 | 35% | 43% | 10% | 12% | ||
| 7–8 Jul | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,741 | 35% | 44% | 8% | 13% | ||
| 6–7 Jul | YouGov/The Sun | 2,759 | 37% | 43% | 8% | 12% | ||
| 5–6 Jul | YouGov/The Sun | 2,839 | 35% | 43% | 9% | 13% | ||
| 4–5 Jul | YouGov/The Sun | 2,738 | 35% | 43% | 10% | 12% | ||
| 3–4 Jul | YouGov/The Sun | 2,864 | 37% | 43% | 9% | 12% | ||
| 30 Jun–1 Jul | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,864 | 36% | 42% | 9% | 13% | ||
| 29–30 Jun | YouGov/The Sun | 2,707 | 37% | 42% | 8% | 14% | ||
| 28–29 Jun | YouGov/The Sun | 2,699 | 37% | 41% | 10% | 12% | ||
| 27–28 Jun | YouGov/The Sun | 2,573 | 36% | 43% | 8% | 12% | ||
| 26–27 Jun | YouGov/The Sun | 3,007 | 37% | 42% | 10% | 11% | ||
| 24–26 Jun | ComRes/The Independent | 1,003 | 36% | 40% | 11% | 13% | ||
| 23–24 Jun | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,767 | 36% | 43% | 9% | 12% | ||
| 22–23 Jun | YouGov/The Sun | 2,834 | 37% | 42% | 9% | 12% | ||
| 21–22 Jun | YouGov/The Sun | 2,774 | 36% | 42% | 9% | 13% | ||
| 20–21 Jun | YouGov/The Sun | 2,732 | 37% | 42% | 8% | 13% | ||
| 19–20 Jun | YouGov/The Sun | 2,847 | 37% | 43% | 9% | 11% | ||
| 17–19 Jun | ICM/The Guardian | 1,000 | 37% | 39% | 12% | 12% | ||
| 16–17 Jun | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,451 | 37% | 42% | 10% | 11% | ||
| 15–16 Jun | YouGov/The Sun | 2,691 | 37% | 43% | 9% | 11% | ||
| 15–16 Jun | ComRes/The Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror | 2,008 | 37% | 37% | 11% | 15% | ||
| 14–15 Jun | YouGov/The Sun | 2,773 | 36% | 42% | 9% | 12% | ||
| 13–14 Jun | YouGov/The Sun | 2,706 | 37% | 42% | 10% | 11% | ||
| 12–13 Jun | YouGov/The Sun | 2,928 | 37% | 42% | 10% | 11% | ||
| 10–11 Jun | Populus/The Times | 1,508 | 39% | 40% | 9% | 11% | ||
| 9–10 Jun | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,728 | 37% | 42% | 9% | 12% | ||
| 8–9 Jun | YouGov/The Sun | 2,861 | 37% | 43% | 8% | 12% | ||
| 7–8 Jun | YouGov/The Sun | 2,693 | 37% | 42% | 9% | 12% | ||
| 6–7 Jun | YouGov/The Sun | 2,704 | 36% | 44% | 8% | 12% | ||
| 5–6 Jun | YouGov/The Sun | 2,667 | 37% | 43% | 9% | 12% | ||
| 2–3 Jun | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,579 | 37% | 42% | 9% | 12% | ||
| 1–2 Jun | YouGov/The Sun | 2,935 | 36% | 42% | 9% | 13% | ||
| 31 May–1 Jun | YouGov/The Sun | 2,657 | 39% | 41% | 9% | 12% | ||
| 30–31 May | YouGov/The Sun | 2,845 | 37% | 42% | 9% | 12% | ||
| 27–29 May | ComRes/The Independent | 1,001 | 37% | 37% | 12% | 14% | ||
| 26–27 May | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,723 | 37% | 43% | 9% | 12% | ||
| 25–26 May | YouGov/The Sun | 2,756 | 37% | 43% | 8% | 12% | ||
| 24–25 May | YouGov/The Sun | 2,795 | 37% | 41% | 10% | 12% | ||
| 23–24 May | YouGov/The Sun | 2,442 | 38% | 42% | 9% | 11% | ||
| 20–24 May | Ipsos MORI/Reuters | 1,008 | 35% | 42% | 10% | 14% | ||
| 22–23 May | YouGov/The Sun | 2,823 | 38% | 42% | 10% | 10% | ||
| 19–20 May | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,691 | 37% | 42% | 8% | 13% | ||
| 18–19 May | YouGov/The Sun | 2,256 | 38% | 40% | 10% | 12% | ||
| 17–18 May | YouGov/The Sun | 2,064 | 36% | 42% | 9% | 13% | ||
| 16–17 May | YouGov/The Sun | 2,515 | 39% | 41% | 9% | 12% | ||
| 15–16 May | YouGov/The Sun | 2,601 | 38% | 41% | 10% | 12% | ||
| 12–13 May | YouGov/The Sunday Times | 2,286 | 36% | 41% | 9% | 13% | ||
| 9–10 May | YouGov/The Sun | 2,341 | 38% | 40% | 9% | 13% | ||
| 8–9 May | YouGov/The Sun | 2,530 | 38% | 42% | 8% | 12% | ||
| 6–8 May | Populus/The Times | 1,504 | 37% | 39% | 11% | 13% | ||
| 5 May | In local elections across England, the Liberal Democrats suffer heavy losses to both Labour, who make significant gains, especially in the North of England, and the Conservatives, who also make unexpected gains at the expense of their coalition partners. In Scottish Parliament elections, the pro-independence Scottish National Party achieve a majority of seats, the first time any single party has achieved such a feat, with all three main parties suffering losses. Labour loses the most seats, whilst the Liberal Democrats fail to win any mainland constituencies. In Welsh Assembly elections, Labour win 30 of the 60 seats available, falling one short of an outright majority, with the Conservatives overtaking Plaid Cymru to become the second largest party in the Senedd. A referendum is also held on the system of voting used to elect MPs to the House of Commons, in which the proposed Alternative Vote system is rejected in favour of the existing First Past the Post arrangement by a majority of more than 2 to 1. | |||||||
| 5–6 May | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,056 | 36% | 41% | 10% | 12% | ||
| 4–5 May | YouGov/The Sun | 2,087 | 37% | 39% | 10% | 13% | ||
| 3–4 May | YouGov/The Sun | 5,725 | 36% | 40% | 11% | 14% | ||
| 2–3 May | YouGov/The Sun | 2,365 | 37% | 42% | 10% | 11% | ||
| 27–28 Apr | YouGov/The Sun | 2,070 | 36% | 41% | 12% | 12% | ||
| 26–27 Apr | YouGov/The Sun | 2,666 | 36% | 42% | 10% | 12% | ||
| 25–26 Apr | YouGov/The Sun | 2,617 | 36% | 41% | 10% | 13% | ||
| 20–21 Apr | YouGov/The Sun | 2,629 | 36% | 42% | 10% | 12% | ||
| 19–20 Apr | YouGov/The Sun | 2,346 | 36% | 43% | 9% | 12% | ||
| 18–19 Apr | YouGov/The Sun | 2,431 | 36% | 43% | 9% | 12% | ||
| 17–18 Apr | YouGov/The Sun | 3,637 | 36% | 42% | 9% | 12% | ||
| 15–17 Apr | Ipsos MORI/Reuters | 1,000 | 40% | 40% | 9% | 11% | ||
| 14–15 Apr | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,735 | 37% | 41% | 9% | 12% | ||
| 13–14 Apr | YouGov/The Sun | 2,555 | 36% | 42% | 10% | 12% | ||
| 12–13 Apr | YouGov/The Sun | 2,813 | 35% | 44% | 10% | 12% | ||
| 11–12 Apr | YouGov/The Sun | 2,258 | 37% | 42% | 9% | 11% | ||
| 10–11 Apr | YouGov/The Sun | 2,649 | 36% | 42% | 10% | 12% | ||
| 8–11 Apr | Angus Reid Public Opinion | 2,023 | 31% | 42% | 11% | 17% | ||
| 8–10 Apr | Populus/The Times | 1,509 | 36% | 40% | 11% | 14% | ||
| 7–8 Apr | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,206 | 36% | 43% | 9% | 12% | ||
| 6–7 Apr | YouGov/The Sun | 2,199 | 35% | 44% | 10% | 11% | ||
| 5–6 Apr | YouGov/The Sun | 2,034 | 36% | 42% | 10% | 12% | ||
| 4–5 Apr | YouGov/The Sun | 2,530 | 37% | 42% | 9% | 12% | ||
| 3–4 Apr | YouGov/The Sun | 2,484 | 37% | 42% | 9% | 11% | ||
| 31 Mar–1 Apr | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,226 | 36% | 42% | 11% | 11% | ||
| 30–31 Mar | YouGov/The Sun | 2,175 | 35% | 42% | 10% | 13% | ||
| 29–30 Mar | YouGov/The Sun | 2,202 | 35% | 45% | 9% | 11% | ||
| 28–29 Mar | YouGov/The Sun | 2,198 | 36% | 42% | 10% | 11% | ||
| 27–28 Mar | YouGov/The Sun | 2,391 | 36% | 44% | 9% | 11% | ||
| 25–27 Mar | ComRes/The Independent | 1,000 | 35% | 41% | 13% | 11% | ||
| 24–25 Mar | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,214 | 38% | 41% | 11% | 10% | ||
| 23 Mar | Budget 2011: Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne unveils his second budget which includes a 1p reduction in fuel duty, an increase on supplementary taxes on North Sea oil companies and 2% above inflation increases on alcohol excise and tobacco duties. The Office for Budget Responsibility downgrades its GDP growth forecast for 2011 from 2.1% to 1.7% and for 2012 from 2.6% to 2.5%. | |||||||
| 23–24 Mar | YouGov/The Sun | 2,456 | 37% | 41% | 11% | 11% | ||
| 23–24 Mar | ICM/The Guardian | 1,014 | 37% | 36% | 16% | 11% | ||
| 22–23 Mar | YouGov/The Sun | 2,485 | 36% | 42% | 10% | 11% | ||
| 21–22 Mar | YouGov/The Sun | 2,026 | 35% | 42% | 9% | 14% | ||
| 18–21 Mar | Angus Reid Public Opinion | 2,023 | 32% | 41% | 10% | 18% | ||
| 17–18 Mar | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,682 | 37% | 43% | 9% | 11% | ||
| 16-17 Mar | YouGov/The Sun | 2,295 | 35% | 43% | 10% | 12% | ||
| 15-16 Mar | YouGov/The Sun | 2,666 | 35% | 43% | 10% | 12% | ||
| 14–15 Mar | YouGov/The Sun | 2,595 | 35% | 45% | 9% | 11% | ||
| 13–14 Mar | YouGov/The Sun | 2,634 | 35% | 44% | 9% | 12% | ||
| 11–13 Mar | Ipsos MORI/Reuters | 1,000 | 37% | 41% | 10% | 12% | ||
| 10–11 Mar | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,067 | 33% | 44% | 10% | 13% | ||
| 9–10 Mar | YouGov/The Sun | 2,195 | 34% | 45% | 9% | 12% | ||
| 8–9 Mar | YouGov/The Sun | 2,436 | 36% | 42% | 9% | 14% | ||
| 7–8 Mar | YouGov/The Sun | 2,346 | 36% | 44% | 10% | 11% | ||
| 6–7 Mar | YouGov/The Sun | 1,614 | 36% | 42% | 9% | 13% | ||
| 4–6 Mar | Populus/The Times | 1,511 | 35% | 41% | 11% | 14% | ||
| 3 Mar | Barnsley Central by-election, 2011: Labour poll more than 60% of the vote to hold the Yorkshire seat and increase their majority. UKIP increase their vote by 7.5% to finish in second place, whilst the Conservatives maintain third place despite their vote falling by 9%. The Liberal Democrats fall from second place to sixth, finishing behind the BNP and an Independent candidate. | |||||||
| 3–4 Mar | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,413 | 35% | 43% | 10% | 12% | ||
| 3–4 Mar | Angus Reid Public Opinion | 2,007 | 33% | 41% | 10% | 15% | ||
| 1–2 Mar | YouGov/The Sun | 2,458 | 36% | 41% | 11% | 12% | ||
| 28 Feb - 1 Mar | YouGov/The Sun | 2,126 | 34% | 43% | 11% | 12% | ||
| 27–28 Feb | YouGov/The Sun | 2,549 | 36% | 43% | 10% | 11% | ||
| 25–27 Feb | ComRes/The Independent | 1,007 | 35% | 39% | 12% | 14% | ||
| 24–25 Feb | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,325 | 36% | 44% | 10% | 10% | ||
| 23–24 Feb | YouGov/The Sun | TBC | 38% | 42% | 10% | 10% | ||
| 22–23 Feb | YouGov/The Sun | 2,487 | 36% | 44% | 11% | 9% | ||
| 21–22 Feb | YouGov/The Sun | 2,372 | 37% | 43% | 9% | 11% | ||
| 20–21 Feb | YouGov/The Sun | 2,630 | 36% | 42% | 11% | 11% | ||
| 18–20 Feb | ICM/The Guardian | 1,008 | 35% | 38% | 18% | 9% | ||
| 18–20 Feb | Ipsos MORI/Reuters | 1,002 | 33% | 43% | 13% | 11% | ||
| 17–18 Feb | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,464 | 37% | 41% | 10% | 11% | ||
| 16–17 Feb | YouGov/The Sun | 2,643 | 36% | 42% | 10% | 11% | ||
| 15-16 Feb | YouGov/The Sun | TBC | 35% | 45% | 10% | 10% | ||
| 14-15 Feb | YouGov/The Sun | 2,502 | 37% | 44% | 10% | 10% | ||
| 13–14 Feb | YouGov/The Sun | 2,736 | 36% | 44% | 10% | 10% | ||
| 10–11 Feb | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,419 | 35% | 45% | 9% | 11% | ||
| 9-10 Feb | YouGov/The Sun | 2,474 | 35% | 44% | 10% | 12% | ||
| 9–10 Feb | ComRes/The Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror | 2,009 | 36% | 42% | 11% | 11% | ||
| 8–10 Feb | Angus Reid Public Opinion | 2,019 | 34% | 40% | 11% | 15% | ||
| 8-9 Feb | YouGov/The Sun | 2,339 | 36% | 43% | 10% | 11% | ||
| 7-8 Feb | YouGov/The Sun | 2,483 | 35% | 43% | 10% | 10% | ||
| 6–7 Feb | YouGov/The Sun | 2,278 | 37% | 43% | 9% | 10% | ||
| 4–6 Feb | Populus/The Times | 1,510 | 36% | 39% | 11% | 14% | ||
| 3–4 Feb | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,283 | 36% | 42% | 10% | 11% | ||
| 1–2 Feb | YouGov/The Sun | 2,409 | 36% | 44% | 9% | 10% | ||
| 31 Jan–1 Feb | YouGov/The Sun | 1,922 | 39% | 44% | 8% | 10% | ||
| 30–31 Jan | YouGov/The Sun | 2,032 | 40% | 42% | 8% | 11% | ||
| 28–30 Jan | ComRes/The Independent | 1,002 | 34% | 43% | 10% | 13% | ||
| 27–28 Jan | Angus Reid Public Opinion/Sunday Express | 2,323 | 32% | 43% | 11% | 14% | ||
| 27–28 Jan | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,234 | 39% | 43% | 8% | 10% | ||
| 26–27 Jan | YouGov/The Sun | 1,835 | 38% | 44% | 8% | 10% | ||
| 25–26 Jan | YouGov/The Sun | 2,139 | 39% | 41% | 10% | 11% | ||
| 25–26 Jan | Angus Reid Public Opinion/PoliticalBetting.com | 2,010 | 33% | 41% | 12% | 15% | ||
| 25 Jan | The Office of National Statistics announces the British economy contracted by 0.5% in the fourth quarter of 2010. | |||||||
| 24–25 Jan | YouGov/The Sun | 1,816 | 37% | 43% | 10% | 10% | ||
| 23-24 Jan | YouGov/The Sun | 2,003 | 37% | 42% | 11% | 11% | ||
| 21–24 Jan | Ipsos MORI/Reuters | 1,162 | 33% | 43% | 13% | 11% | ||
| 21-23 Jan | ICM/The Guardian | 1,000 | 35% | 39% | 15% | 10% | ||
| 20 Jan | Alan Johnson resigns as Shadow Chancellor for personal reasons, being replaced by Ed Balls. Yvette Cooper replaces Balls as Shadow Home Secretary, with Douglas Alexander replacing Cooper as Shadow Foreign Secretary and Liam Byrne replacing Alexander as Shadow Work and Pensions Secretary. | |||||||
| 20–21 Jan | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,699 | 39% | 43% | 9% | 10% | ||
| 19–20 Jan | YouGov/The Sun | 1,860 | 36% | 43% | 10% | 11% | ||
| 18-19 Jan | YouGov/The Sun | 1,993 | 37% | 42% | 9% | 11% | ||
| 17-18 Jan | YouGov/The Sun | 1,884 | 39% | 44% | 8% | 9% | ||
| 16–17 Jan | YouGov/The Sun | 1,977 | 37% | 42% | 9% | 11% | ||
| 13 Jan | Oldham East and Saddleworth by-election, 2011: Labour win the by-election with an increased majority of 3,558 and a swing of 5% from the Liberal Democrats, despite the Lib Dem candidate polling a vote share 0.3% higher than that at the election, this largely being attributed to the collapse of the Conservative vote, which falls from 26.4% to 12.8%. | |||||||
| 13-14 Jan | YouGov/The Sunday Times | 1,865 | 37% | 43% | 9% | 11% | ||
| 12–13 Jan | ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent on Sunday | 2.006 | 36% | 40% | 10% | 14% | ||
| 12–13 Jan | YouGov/The Sun | 1,884 | 41% | 41% | 8% | 11% | ||
| 11–12 Jan | YouGov/The Sun | 1,812 | 36% | 43% | 9% | 11% | ||
| 10–11 Jan | YouGov/The Sun | 1,857 | 40% | 41% | 7% | 12% | ||
| 8–10 Jan | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,283 | 40% | 43% | 8% | 9% | ||
| 7-9 Jan | ComRes/The Independent | 1,000 | 34% | 42% | 12% | 12% | ||
| 6-7 Jan | Angus Reid Public Opinion | 2,010 | 35% | 40% | 12% | 13 | ||
| 6–7 Jan | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,797 | 38% | 41% | 10% | 11% | ||
| 5-6 Jan | YouGov/The Sun | 1,862 | 39% | 43% | 7% | 10% | ||
| 4-5 Jan | YouGov/The Sun | TBC | 40% | 41% | 10% | 9% | ||
| 3-4 Jan | YouGov/The Sun | 1,876 | 40% | 42% | 8% | 10% | ||
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Conservatives | Labour | Liberal Democrats | Others | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22–23 Dec | YouGov/The Sun | 1,635 | 39% | 41% | 9% | 11% | ||
| 21–22 Dec | YouGov/The Sun | 1,695 | 41% | 42% | 8% | 10% | ||
| 20–21 Dec | YouGov/The Sun | 2,032 | 40% | 42% | 9% | 9% | ||
| 19–20 Dec | YouGov/The Sun | 2,039 | 40% | 43% | 8% | 9% | ||
| 17–20 Dec | Angus Reid Public Opinion | 2,003 | 35% | 41% | 9% | 15% | ||
| 16–19 Dec | ICM/The Guardian | 1,003 | 37% | 39% | 13% | 11% | ||
| 16–17 Dec | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,966 | 39% | 42% | 9% | 10% | ||
| 15–16 Dec | ComRes/The Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror | 2,017 | 37% | 39% | 11% | 13% | ||
| 15–16 Dec | YouGov/The Sun | 1,922 | 41% | 41% | 9% | 10% | ||
| 14–15 Dec | YouGov/The Sun | 2,022 | 42% | 40% | 8% | 9% | ||
| 13–14 Dec | YouGov/The Sun | 1,810 | 39% | 42% | 9% | 9% | ||
| 12–13 Dec | YouGov/The Sun | 2,092 | 41% | 42% | 9% | 8% | ||
| 10–12 Dec | Ipsos MORI/Reuters | 1,004 | 38% | 39% | 11% | 14% | ||
| 9 Dec | The House of Commons approves the Coalition Government's proposals to increase tuition fees to up to £9,000 by 323 votes to 302. The majority of Liberal Democrats renege on their Vote for Students pledge, amidst mass student protests. | |||||||
| 9–10 Dec | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,937 | 40% | 42% | 9% | 10% | ||
| 8–9 Dec | YouGov/The Sun | 1,982 | 41% | 39% | 11% | 9% | ||
| 7–8 Dec | YouGov/The Sun | 1,966 | 41% | 41% | 8% | 10% | ||
| 6–7 Dec | YouGov/The Sun | 2,109 | 42% | 39% | 9% | 10% | ||
| 5–6 Dec | YouGov/The Sun | 1,991 | 42% | 39% | 10% | 9% | ||
| 2–3 Dec | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,916 | 41% | 39% | 10% | 10% | ||
| 1–2 Dec | YouGov/The Sun | 1,934 | 40% | 40% | 11% | 9% | ||
| 30 Nov–1 Dec | YouGov/The Sun | 2,080 | 41% | 38% | 11% | 10% | ||
| 29–30 Nov | Angus Reid Public Opinion | 2,004 | 35% | 40% | 13% | 12% | ||
| 29–30 Nov | YouGov/The Sun | 1,975 | 40% | 40% | 10% | 10% | ||
| 28–29 Nov | YouGov/The Sun | 2,114 | 40% | 40% | 10% | 10% | ||
| 26–29 Nov | ComRes/The Independent | 1,006 | 36% | 40% | 12% | 12% | ||
| 25–26 Nov | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,711 | 40% | 40% | 9% | 11% | ||
| 24–25 Nov | YouGov/The Sun | 2,024 | 42% | 39% | 10% | 9% | ||
| 23–24 Nov | YouGov/The Sun | 2,053 | 40% | 40% | 9% | 11% | ||
| 22–23 Nov | YouGov/The Sun | 1,968 | 42% | 40% | 10% | 9% | ||
| 21–22 Nov | YouGov/The Sun | 2,080 | 41% | 38% | 11% | 10% | ||
| 19–21 Nov | ICM/The Guardian | 1,000 | 36% | 38% | 14% | 12% | ||
| 18–19 Nov | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,967 | 40% | 38% | 11% | 11% | ||
| 17–19 Nov | ComRes/Sunday Mirror/The Independent on Sunday | 2,015 | 37% | 38% | 13% | 12% | ||
| 17–18 Nov | YouGov/The Sun | 2,007 | 40% | 40% | 11% | 9% | ||
| 16–17 Nov | YouGov/The Sun | 2,082 | 40% | 40% | 11% | 10% | ||
| 15–16 Nov | YouGov/The Sun | 2,050 | 37% | 42% | 10% | 10% | ||
| 14–15 Nov | YouGov/The Sun | 2,050 | 40% | 42% | 10% | 8% | ||
| 12–14 Nov | Ipsos MORI/Reuters | 1,005 | 36% | 39% | 14% | 11% | ||
| 11–12 Nov | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,930 | 39% | 41% | 10% | 9% | ||
| 10–11 Nov | YouGov/The Sun | 2,013 | 40% | 40% | 10% | 10% | ||
| 9–10 Nov | YouGov/The Sun | 1,933 | 42% | 37% | 11% | 10% | ||
| 8–9 Nov | YouGov/The Sun | 1,936 | 40% | 39% | 13% | 8% | ||
| 7–8 Nov | YouGov/The Sun | 2,109 | 42% | 39% | 11% | 9% | ||
| 4–5 Nov | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,954 | 40% | 39% | 12% | 10% | ||
| 3–4 Nov | YouGov/The Sun | 1,980 | 40% | 39% | 11% | 10% | ||
| 2–3 Nov | YouGov/The Sun | 2,036 | 40% | 40% | 9% | 10% | ||
| 1–2 Nov | YouGov/The Sun | 2,006 | 41% | 40% | 11% | 8% | ||
| 31 Oct–1 Nov | YouGov/The Sun | 2,132 | 41% | 39% | 11% | 9% | ||
| 29–30 Oct | ComRes/The Independent | 1,000 | 35% | 37% | 16% | 12% | ||
| 28–29 Oct | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,058 | 42% | 37% | 13% | 8% | ||
| 27–28 Oct | Angus Reid Public Opinion | 2,015 | 35% | 37% | 15% | 12% | ||
| 27–28 Oct | YouGov/The Sun | 1,986 | 41% | 39% | 11% | 9% | ||
| 26–27 Oct | YouGov/The Sun | 2,108 | 41% | 39% | 12% | 8% | ||
| 25–26 Oct | YouGov/The Sun | 2,651 | 40% | 38% | 12% | 9% | ||
| 24–25 Oct | YouGov/The Sun | 1,967 | 40% | 40% | 11% | 9% | ||
| 22–24 Oct | ICM/The Guardian | 1,002 | 39% | 36% | 16% | 9% | ||
| 22–24 Oct | Populus/The Times | 1,000 | 37% | 38% | 15% | 10% | ||
| 21–22 Oct | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,845 | 41% | 40% | 10% | 9% | ||
| 21–22 Oct | ICM/News of the World | 1,025 | 40% | 36% | 16% | 9% | ||
| 21–22 Oct | BPIX/Mail on Sunday[13] | 1,916 | 35% | 37% | 10% | 18% | ||
| 20 Oct | Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne announces the government's Comprehensive Spending Review. | |||||||
| 20–21 Oct | YouGov/The Sun | 1,874 | 41% | 40% | 10% | 9% | ||
| 19–20 Oct | YouGov/The Sun | 1,936 | 41% | 39% | 11% | 9% | ||
| 18–19 Oct | YouGov/The Sun | 2,099 | 42% | 39% | 11% | 8% | ||
| 17–18 Oct | YouGov/The Sun | 1,991 | 41% | 39% | 12% | 7% | ||
| 15–17 Oct | Ipsos MORI/Reuters | 1,009 | 39% | 36% | 14% | 11% | ||
| 14–15 Oct | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,898 | 41% | 39% | 11% | 9% | ||
| 13–15 Oct | ComRes/The Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror | 2,009 | 40% | 34% | 14% | 12% | ||
| 13–14 Oct | YouGov/The Sun | 1,838 | 42% | 38% | 12% | 8% | ||
| 12–13 Oct | YouGov/The Sun | 1,959 | 41% | 40% | 11% | 8% | ||
| 11–12 Oct | YouGov/The Sun | 2,047 | 43% | 36% | 12% | 8% | ||
| 10–11 Oct | YouGov/The Sun | 2,090 | 42% | 38% | 12% | 8% | ||
| 8 Oct | Labour leader Ed Miliband announces his shadow cabinet, including the appointment of Alan Johnson as Shadow Chancellor of the Exchequer. |
|||||||
| 7–8 Oct | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,890 | 42% | 38% | 12% | 8% | ||
| 6–7 Oct | YouGov/The Sun | 1,903 | 42% | 38% | 12% | 8% | ||
| 5–6 Oct | YouGov/The Sun | 1,955 | 42% | 40% | 11% | 7% | ||
| 4–5 Oct | YouGov/The Sun | 2,057 | 43% | 39% | 11% | 7% | ||
| 3–6 Oct | The Conservative Party hold their annual conference in Birmingham. | |||||||
| 3–4 Oct | YouGov/The Sun | 2,108 | 41% | 39% | 12% | 8% | ||
| 30 Sep–1 Oct | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,796 | 39% | 41% | 11% | 8% | ||
| 30 Sep–1 Oct | Angus Reid Public Opinion | 2,004 | 35% | 38% | 16% | 11% | ||
| 30 Sep–1 Oct | BPIX/Mail on Sunday[13] | 2,061 | 41% | 37% | 13% | 9% | ||
| 29 Sep–1 Oct | ComRes/The Independent | 2,035 | 39% | 36% | 15% | 10% | ||
| 29–30 Sep | YouGov/The Sun | 3,127 | 41% | 39% | 12% | 8% | ||
| 28–29 Sep | YouGov/The Sun | 1,916 | 41% | 39% | 12% | 9% | ||
| 28–29 Sep | ICM/The Guardian | 1,005 | 35% | 37% | 18% | 10% | ||
| 27–28 Sep | YouGov/The Sun | 1,896 | 41% | 40% | 12% | 8% | ||
| 26–27 Sep | YouGov/The Sun | 1,948 | 39% | 40% | 12% | 9% | ||
| 25–30 Sep | The Labour Party hold their annual conference in Manchester, where its leadership election ends and Ed Miliband is announced as the new Leader of the Labour Party. | |||||||
| 23–24 Sep | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,905 | 39% | 38% | 15% | 9% | ||
| 22–23 Sep | YouGov/The Sun | 2,013 | 41% | 37% | 13% | 8% | ||
| 21–22 Sep | YouGov/The Sun | 1,649 | 43% | 36% | 14% | 7% | ||
| 18–22 Sep | The Liberal Democrats hold their annual conference in Liverpool. | |||||||
| 20–21 Sep | YouGov/The Sun | 1,963 | 39% | 39% | 13% | 8% | ||
| 19–20 Sep | YouGov/The Sun | 2,156 | 42% | 38% | 11% | 8% | ||
| 16–17 Sep | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,984 | 41% | 39% | 13% | 7% | ||
| 14–16 Sep | ComRes/Sunday Mirror/The Independent on Sunday | 2,028 | 37% | 35% | 15% | 13% | ||
| 15–16 Sep | YouGov/The Sun | 1,996 | 41% | 38% | 12% | 9% | ||
| 14–15 Sep | YouGov/The Sun | 1,971 | 42% | 39% | 12% | 7% | ||
| 13–14 Sep | YouGov/The Sun | 1,913 | 40% | 39% | 12% | 9% | ||
| 12–13 Sep | YouGov/The Sun | 2,108 | 41% | 38% | 12% | 9% | ||
| 10–12 Sep | Populus/The Times | 1,508 | 39% | 37% | 14% | 10% | ||
| 10–12 Sep | Ipsos MORI/Reuters | 1,004 | 37% | 37% | 15% | 11% | ||
| 9–10 Sep | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,858 | 42% | 38% | 14% | 6% | ||
| 8–9 Sep | YouGov/The Sun | 1,948 | 42% | 37% | 14% | 8% | ||
| 7–8 Sep | YouGov/The Sun | 1,967 | 43% | 38% | 12% | 7% | ||
| 6–7 Sep | YouGov/The Sun | 2,089 | 42% | 38% | 13% | 8% | ||
| 5–6 Sep | YouGov/The Sun | 2,089 | 42% | 37% | 13% | 8% | ||
| 3–5 Sep | ComRes/The Independent | 1,000 | 38% | 34% | 18% | 10% | ||
| 2–3 Sep | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,849 | 42% | 37% | 12% | 9% | ||
| 31 Aug–1 Sep | YouGov/The Sun | 1,923 | 43% | 37% | 12% | 8% | ||
| 30–31 Aug | YouGov/The Sun | 1,548 | 43% | 38% | 11% | 8% | ||
| 26–27 Aug | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,872 | 41% | 37% | 13% | 8% | ||
| 25–26 Aug | YouGov/The Sun | 2,046 | 42% | 37% | 12% | 9% | ||
| 24–25 Aug | YouGov/The Sun | 2,030 | 42% | 37% | 12% | 8% | ||
| 23–24 Aug | YouGov/The Sun | 2,011 | 41% | 38% | 13% | 8% | ||
| 22–23 Aug | YouGov/The Sun | 2,088 | 41% | 39% | 12% | 9% | ||
| 19–20 Aug | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,953 | 41% | 38% | 12% | 8% | ||
| 18–19 Aug | YouGov/The Sun | 1,970 | 41% | 37% | 14% | 8% | ||
| 17–18 Aug | YouGov/The Sun | 2,095 | 44% | 36% | 12% | 7% | ||
| 16–17 Aug | YouGov/The Sun | 2,059 | 42% | 37% | 14% | 8% | ||
| 15–16 Aug | YouGov/The Sun | 2,125 | 41% | 37% | 15% | 8% | ||
| 13–15 Aug | ICM/The Guardian | 1,001 | 37% | 37% | 18% | 8% | ||
| 13–15 Aug | ComRes/Daily Mirror/GMTV | 939 | 39% | 33% | 15% | 13% | ||
| 12–13 Aug | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,865 | 42% | 37% | 13% | 7% | ||
| 11–12 Aug | YouGov/The Sun | 2,000 | 42% | 37% | 14% | 8% | ||
| 10–11 Aug | YouGov/The Sun | 1,940 | 41% | 37% | 15% | 8% | ||
| 9–10 Aug | YouGov/The Sun | 2,008 | 42% | 38% | 14% | 7% | ||
| 8–9 Aug | YouGov/The Sun | 2,241 | 40% | 36% | 15% | 9% | ||
| 6–8 Aug | ComRes/The Independent | 1,004 | 39% | 33% | 16% | 13% | ||
| 5–6 Aug | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,906 | 42% | 36% | 13% | 8% | ||
| 3–4 Aug | YouGov/The Sun | 2,137 | 42% | 36% | 13% | 9% | ||
| 2–3 Aug | YouGov/The Sun | 2,101 | 41% | 36% | 13% | 9% | ||
| 1–2 Aug | YouGov/The Sun | 2,216 | 42% | 38% | 12% | 8% | ||
| 29–30 July | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,885 | 42% | 38% | 12% | 7% | ||
| 27–28 July | YouGov/The Sun | 1,900 | 42% | 36% | 14% | 8% | ||
| 26–27 July | YouGov/The Sun | 2,028 | 42% | 37% | 14% | 7% | ||
| 25–26 July | YouGov/The Sun | 2,143 | 42% | 35% | 15% | 8% | ||
| 23–25 July | ICM/The Guardian | 1,009 | 38% | 34% | 19% | 8% | ||
| 23–25 July | Ipsos MORI/Reuters | 1,009 | 40% | 38% | 14% | 8% | ||
| 22–23 July | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,891 | 41% | 36% | 14% | 9% | ||
| 21–22 July | YouGov/The Sun | 2,104 | 43% | 35% | 15% | 7% | ||
| 20–21 July | YouGov/The Sun | 2,101 | 44% | 35% | 13% | 7% | ||
| 19–20 July | YouGov/The Sun | 2,143 | 43% | 35% | 14% | 8% | ||
| 18–19 July | YouGov/The Sun | 2,007 | 42% | 35% | 15% | 8% | ||
| 15–16 July | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,023 | 40% | 37% | 15% | 7% | ||
| 14–15 July | YouGov/The Sun | 1,620 | 43% | 34% | 15% | 8% | ||
| 13–14 July | YouGov/The Sun | 2,185 | 43% | 34% | 15% | 8% | ||
| 12–13 July | YouGov/The Sun | 2,173 | 42% | 35% | 15% | 8% | ||
| 11–12 July | YouGov/The Sun | 2,227 | 42% | 35% | 15% | 9% | ||
| 8–9 July | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,019 | 42% | 34% | 17% | 7% | ||
| 7–8 July | YouGov/The Sun | 2,165 | 42% | 35% | 16% | 7% | ||
| 6–7 July | YouGov/The Sun | 2,731 | 40% | 36% | 17% | 7% | ||
| 5–6 July | YouGov/The Spectator | 2,214 | 41% | 35% | 16% | 9% | ||
| 5–6 July | YouGov/The Sun | 1,972 | 41% | 36% | 15% | 9% | ||
| 4–5 July | YouGov/The Sun | 1,424 | 40% | 36% | 16% | 8% | ||
| 25–27 June | ComRes/The Independent | 1,003 | 40% | 31% | 18% | 11% | ||
| 24–25 June | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,038 | 43% | 36% | 16% | 6% | ||
| 23–24 June | ICM/Sunday Telegraph | 1,006 | 41% | 35% | 16% | 7% | ||
| 22–23 June | YouGov/The Sun | 1,641 | 42% | 34% | 17% | 7% | ||
| 22–23 June | Populus/The Times | 1,003 | 39% | 33% | 18% | 9% | ||
| 22 June | The Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne holds an emergency budget in which he announces a range of tax rises and spending cuts, most notably a rise in the rate of VAT to 20%. | |||||||
| 21–22 June | YouGov/The Sun | 2,295 | 41% | 37% | 15% | 7% | ||
| 20–21 June | YouGov/The Sun | 2,042 | 41% | 33% | 18% | 7% | ||
| 18–20 June | Ipsos MORI/Reuters | 1,002 | 39% | 31% | 19% | 12% | ||
| 18–20 June | ICM/The Guardian | 1,000 | 39% | 31% | 21% | 8% | ||
| 17–18 June | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,491 | 39% | 34% | 19% | 8% | ||
| 16–17 June | ComRes/The Independent on Sunday | 1,004 | 36% | 30% | 23% | 11% | ||
| 10–11 June | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,482 | 40% | 32% | 18% | 9% | ||
| 10–11 June | BPIX/Mail on Sunday[13] | 2,117 | 39% | 32% | 19% | 10% | ||
| 1–9 June | Harris Interactive/Metro | 1,906 | 36% | 30% | 25% | 9% | ||
| 28–31 May | ComRes/The Independent | 1,000 | 37% | 33% | 21% | 9% | ||
| 21–23 May | ICM/The Guardian | 1,001 | 39% | 32% | 21% | 8% | ||
| 20–21 May | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,477 | 39% | 32% | 21% | 7% | ||
| 13–14 May | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,489 | 37% | 34% | 21% | 8% | ||
| 12–13 May | ComRes/The Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror | 1,010 | 38% | 34% | 21% | 7% | ||
| Date | 2010 general election | Turnout | Conservatives | Labour | Liberal Democrats | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 May | Election Results (excluding Northern Ireland) | 29,691,380 65.3% |
36.9% | 29.7% | 23.6% | 9.8% |
P – The dates when the fieldwork for this poll was carried out is unknown, therefore the date of publication has been given.